Tropical Depression 9 forecast to hit Florida as Category 3 hurricane

STEWART: WE’LL GET TO METEOROLOGIST ALEX ALECCI IN A MOMENT BUT LET’S BEGIN WITH CHIEF METEOROLOGIST TONY MAINOLFI. TONY, WHERE IS THE SYSTEM NOW CUSTOMER TONY: IT HAS WINDSHEAR IN THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN, BUT WE THINK MAYBE AS LATE AS TOMORROW MORNING, THE WINDSHEAR WILL GO AWAY AND WE WILL START TO SEE DEVELOPMENT. ALEX WILL TALK MORE ABOUT THAT, BUT LET ME SHOW YOU THE LATEST, WEST, NORTHWEST AT 14 MILES AN HOUR. THIS IS A NORMAL SPEED AND SOMETIMES WHEN THEY MOVE TOO QUICKLY, WE HAVE SOME NORTHEASTERLY WINDSHEAR, AND I HAVE TOGETHER GRAPHICS ON THAT WE WILL SHOW YOU LATER. IT IS THE DEPTH THE STORMS WORK OFF OF. GIVE IT AS HIGH OCTANE FUEL. WHEN YOU GO TO A GAS STATION, THERE IS 91, 93 AND THERE IS THIS HIGH PAIN FEEL RIGHT HERE ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN BASIN, AND ONCE YOU MOVE AWAY FROM THE STRONG NORTHEASTERLY WINDSHEAR, IT WILL GET MORE ORGANIZED, AND FROM THERE, YOU CAN SEE HOW QUICKLY IT BECOMES A TROPICAL STORM AND POTENTIALLY A MAJOR HURRICANE STRIKING SOUTH ORTA BY THE TIME I GET TO TUESDAY NIGHT AND/OR WEDNESDAY. IN FACT, YOU TAKE AWAY INTENSITY FORECAST, AND THE MAJORITY ARE RUNNING BETWEEN CATEGORY TWO AND CATEGORY 3, AND THAT IS HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON WHERE IT TRACKS. REMEMBER, FIVE DAYS OUT, AND I CANNOT STRESS THIS ENOUGH, THAT ERA ON THE CONE IS 196 MILES ACROSS, SO IF IT TRACKS MORE OVER CUBA WITH HIGHER TERRAIN, THAT COULD HAMPER SOME OF THE DEVELOPMENT DOWN THE ROAD. I WANT TO SEND IT OVER TO ALEX WHO HAS BEEN MONITORING THE SITUATION BETWEEN THE GFS AND HE HAS THE LATEST. ALEX: THIS IS BETWEEN THE EUROPEAN FORECAST AND GFS, SHOWING WIND GUSTS BY 9:00 SUNDAY MORNING, A GOOD AGREEMENT THE SYSTEM WILL BE SOUTH OF JAMAICA, SLOWLY MAKING THE CURVE BACK TO THE NORTH. HERE’S WHERE THINGS GET DIFFERENT. THE GFS EXHIBIT STRONGER, WORKING TOWARDS CUBA, BUT THIS IS WHERE THINGS CHANGE, EUROPEAN FORECAST RINGS IT INTO SOUTH FLORIDA INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. NOTICE THE GFS FORECAST KEEPS IT OFF THE COAST IN THE GULF AND IT CURVES TO THE EAST. THE 8:00 THURSDAY, EUROPEAN FORECAST WITH THE BIG DIFFERENCE HAS IT MOVING ACROSS THE STATE INTO THE ATLANTIC WHILE THE GFS STILL HAS IT LINGERING IN THE GULF. THE CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORM WINDS FROM THE HURRICANE TRACK HAS A GOOD CHANCE. I MONDAY MORNING, RECEIPT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS APPROACHING CUBA AND IN TO WEDNESDAY, A DECENT CHANCE OF NOT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS BUT HURRICANE FORCE WINDS. THE TIMING OF THIS, START TAKING THOSE PREPS. THE CONFIDENCE IN THE TRACK IS FAIRLY LOW, BUT INTO SUNDAY AND AS THE SYSTEM DEVELOPS, THAT IS WHEN WE GET MORE INDICATIONS OF WHEN WE NAIL DOWN THE TRACK AND WHERE THIS IS HEADING AND WHERE YOU WANT TO HAVE THOSE PREPS ON INTO THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK.

NHC forecasts Tropical Depression 9 will hit Florida as Category 3 hurricane

Invest 98-L became Tropical Depression Nine on Friday morning. It had a new burst of convection and is becoming better organized. As of 5 am, Tropical Depression Nine was moving west-northwest at 15 mph with maximum sustained winds of 35 mph. It was located 515 miles east-southeast of Kingston, Jamaica and 1,015 miles southeast of Havana, Cuba. It is expected to become a tropical storm by Friday afternoon. See the latest maps, models and paths hereIn the latest forecast, the National Hurricane Center said the system could hit Florida as a major hurricane, or Category 3 hurricane. The National Weather Service urged Florida residents and visitors to gather supplies and track the forecast.”We still have Tropical Depression Nine, as of the 11 am advisory,” WESH 2 meteorologist Kellianne Klass said. “Tropical Depression Nine is still expected to become a tropical storm later today, but it will struggle to do so. Conditions this weekend look more favorable for development. This storm is expected to strengthen to a major Category 3 hurricane with winds of 115 mph by Wednesday morning. There is still a lot of uncertainty about where exactly this system will make landfall in Florida. Southwest Florida to Tampa Bay are all in play for landfall. Still thinking the impacts for Central Florida will be around Tuesday through Thursday. GFS and European models are still not in agreement with the speed of the storm. GFS has the storm lingering off of the coast through Friday. The European model kicks the storm out by Thursday. This is still a fluid situation as we still need to fine-tune the exact landfall and timing of the storm.”Below: WESH 2 Meteorologist Eric Burris takes deep dive into the tracks and models KNOW WHAT TO DO WHEN A HURRICANE WATCH IS ISSUEDStay tuned to WESH 2 News, wesh.c om, or NOAA Weather Radio for storm updates.Prepare to bring inside any lawn furniture, outdoor decorations or ornaments, trash cans, hanging plants, and anything else that can be picked up by the wind.Understand hurricane forecast models and cones.Prepare to cover all windows of your home. If shutters have not been installed, use precut plywood.Check batteries and stock up on canned food, first-aid supplies, drinking water, and medications.The WESH 2 First Warning Weather Team recommends you have these items ready before the storm strikes.Bottled water: One gallon of water per person per dayCanned food and soup, such as beans and chiliCan opener for the cans without the easy-open lidsAssemble a first-aid kitTwo weeks’ worth of prescription medicationsBaby/children’s needs, such as formula and diapersFlashlight and batteriesBattery-operated weather radioWHAT TO DO WHEN A HURRICANE WARNING IS ISSUEDListen to the advice of local officials. If you are advised to evacuate, leave. Complete preparation activities If you are not advised to evacuate, stay indoors, away from windows. Be alert for tornadoes. Tornadoes can happen during a hurricane and after it passes over. Remain indoors, in the center of your home, in a closet or bathroom without windows.HOW YOUR SMARTPHONE CAN HELP DURING A HURRICANEA smartphone can be your best friend in a hurricane — with the right websites and apps, you can turn it into a powerful tool for guiding you through a storm’s approach, arrival and aftermath.Download the WESH 2 News app for iOS | AndroidEnable emergency alerts — if you have an iPhone, select settings, then go into notifications. From there, look for government alerts and enable emergency alerts. On the settings menu, click on “severe weather alerts.” From the menu, select from most severe, moderate-severe, or all alerts.PET AND ANIMAL SAFETYYour pet should be a part of your family plan. If you must evacuate, the most important thing you can do to protect your pets is to evacuate them too. Leaving pets behind, even if you try to create a safe space for them, could result in injury or death. Contact hotels and motels outside of your immediate area to see if they take pets. Ask friends, relatives and others outside of the affected area whether they could shelter your animal.

Invest 98-L became Tropical Depression Nine on Friday morning.

It had a new burst of convection and is becoming better organized.

As of 5 am, Tropical Depression Nine was moving west-northwest at 15 mph with maximum sustained winds of 35 mph. It was located 515 miles east-southeast of Kingston, Jamaica and 1,015 miles southeast of Havana, Cuba. It is expected to become a tropical storm by Friday afternoon.

See the latest maps, models and paths here

In the latest forecast, the National Hurricane Center said the system could hit Florida as a major hurricane, or Category 3 hurricane. The National Weather Service urged Florida residents and visitors to gather supplies and track the forecast.

This content is imported from Twitter. You may be able to find the same content in another format, or you may be able to find more information, at their web site.

This content is imported from Twitter. You may be able to find the same content in another format, or you may be able to find more information, at their web site.

This content is imported from Twitter. You may be able to find the same content in another format, or you may be able to find more information, at their web site.

“We still have Tropical Depression Nine, as of the 11 am advisory,” WESH 2 meteorologist Kellianne Klass said. “Tropical Depression Nine is still expected to become a tropical storm later today, but it will struggle to do so. Conditions this weekend look more favorable for development. This storm is expected to strengthen to a major Category 3 hurricane with winds of 115 mph by Wednesday morning. There is still a lot of uncertainty about where exactly this system will make landfall in Florida. Southwest Florida to Tampa Bay are all in play for landfall. Still thinking the impacts for Central Florida will be around Tuesday through Thursday. GFS and European models are still not in agreement with the speed of the storm. GFS has the storm lingering off of the coast through Friday. The European model kicks the storm out by Thursday. This is still a fluid situation as we still need to fine-tune the exact landfall and timing of the storm.”

Below: WESH 2 Meteorologist Eric Burris takes deep dive into the tracks and models

KNOW WHAT TO DO WHEN A HURRICANE WATCH IS ISSUED

  • Stay tuned to WESH 2 News, wesh.com, or NOAA Weather Radio for storm updates.
  • Prepare to bring inside any lawn furniture, outdoor decorations or ornaments, trash cans, hanging plants, and anything else that can be picked up by the wind.
  • Understand hurricane forecast models and cones.
  • Prepare to cover all windows of your home. If shutters have not been installed, use precut plywood.
  • Check batteries and stock up on canned food, first-aid supplies, drinking water, and medications.

The WESH 2 First Warning Weather Team recommends you have these items ready before the storm strikes.

  • Bottled water: One gallon of water per person per day
  • Canned food and soup, such as beans and chili
  • Can opener for the cans without the easy-open lids
  • Assemble a first-aid kit
  • Two weeks’ worth of prescription medications
  • Baby/children’s needs, such as formula and diapers
  • Flashlight and batteries
  • Battery-operated weather radio

WHAT TO DO WHEN A HURRICANE WARNING IS ISSUED

  • Listen to the advice of local officials. If you are advised to evacuate, leave.
  • Complete preparation activities
  • If you are not advised to evacuate, stay indoors, away from windows.
  • Be alert for tornadoes. Tornadoes can happen during a hurricane and after it passes over. Remain indoors, in the center of your home, in a closet or bathroom without windows.

HOW YOUR SMARTPHONE CAN HELP DURING A HURRICANE

A smartphone can be your best friend in a hurricane — with the right websites and apps, you can turn it into a powerful tool for guiding you through a storm’s approach, arrival and aftermath.

Download the WESH 2 News app for iOS | android

Enable emergency alerts — if you have an iPhone, select settings, then go into notifications. From there, look for government alerts and enable emergency alerts.

If you have an Android phone, from the home page of the app, scroll to the right along the bottom and click on “settings.” On the settings menu, click on “severe weather alerts.” From the menu, select from most severe, moderate-severe, or all alerts.

PET AND ANIMAL SAFETY

Your pet should be part of your family plan. If you must evacuate, the most important thing you can do to protect your pets is to evacuate them too. Leaving pets behind, even if you try to create a safe space for them, could result in injury or death.

  • Contact hotels and motels outside of your immediate area to see if they take pets.
  • Ask friends, relatives and others outside of the affected area whether they could shelter your animal.

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